Annual Review of Economics

Vol. 6:333-362 (Volume publication date August 2014)
First published online as a Review in Advance on February 21, 2014
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-080213-041050

JEL codes: E21, E22, E24, F43, H11, H55, I31, I38, J11, J13, J31, L52, N15, N45, N65, O11, O14, O33, O38, O41, O43, O47, O53, P31, Q53

Abstract

A recent wave of economic research has studied the transformation of China from a poor country in the 1970s to a middle-income economy today. Based on this literature, we discuss the factors driving China’s development process. We provide a historical account of China’s rise, fall, and resurgence. We then discuss the stylized facts associated with China’s growth process and review a comprehensive theory of its economic transition. Finally, we discuss China’s future. In particular, we review some recent studies about technological and politico-economic factors that may foster or hinder its future economic performance.

Keywords

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Figure 1: Gender gaps in (a) education and (b) life expectancy. GDP per capita is the purchasing power parity–adjusted value in the year the outcome (the vertical-axis variable) is measured, express…

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Figure 2: (a) Gender gap in labor force participation and (b) attitudes about women in the labor force. GDP per capita is the purchasing power parity–adjusted value [from World Development Indicator…

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Figure 1: Manufacturing share of US nonfarm employment (1939–2015). Source: FRED Economic Data (https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=1Gor).

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Figure 2: China’s share of world manufacturing activity (1990–2012). Source: World Development Indicators (http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators).

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Figure 3: The evolution of China’s imports and exports. (a) Exports minus imports as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) for China. (b) Revealed comparative advantage (RCA) for China. Source: Worl…

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Figure 5: The United States’ and China’s current account balances [% of gross domestic product (GDP)] for 1985–2012. Source: World Development Indicators (http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.as…

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Figure 6: Geographic exposure to trade shocks at the CZ (commuting zone) level. (a) Quartiles of unconditional exposure. (b) Quartiles of exposure conditional on manufacturing employment share.

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Figure 7: Effect of a $1,000-per-worker increase in imports from China on dollar change of annual government transfer receipts per capita in commuting zones (1990–2007). Abbreviations: SSA, US Social …

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Figure 1: Growing interest in universal basic incomes as evidenced in newspaper usage, showing annual uses of the terms “universal basic income” and “basic income” in the New York Times.

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Figure 3: Comparing a universal basic income (UBI) to other existing programs.

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Figure 6: Average household transfers by family type and earnings decile. Data from authors’ tabulations of the 2017 Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (US Census Bur. 201…

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Figure 7: Distribution of household transfers by family type and earnings decile. Data from authors’ tabulations of the 2017 Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (US Census …

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